WTA 500 · Final · Adelaide
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,395 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.34u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Ostapenko
2
Kasatkina
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide
H Hard · Final
May 8, 2023
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 28, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Jun 21, 2021
Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 3, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Final
Jun 20, 2016
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Kasatkina's 29%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | W |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W 75 61 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | L 67 63 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 57 64 46 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 57 62 26 | L 36 06 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 46 | L 06 64 36 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | L 61 36 46 | L 36 61 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.2% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.9% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 7.1 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.9% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.6% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.1% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 56.1% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Final at Adelaide on Hard.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magda Linette (May 27).
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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