WTA 250 · Round of 32 · Palermo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 901 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Paolini
2
Kasatkina
Jun 24, 2024
Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Jul 17, 2023
Palermo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 3, 2020
Palermo
C Clay · Round of 32
May 27, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Apr 30, 2018
Prague
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Paolini's 38%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 64 60 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 57 64 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 75 16 16 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 64 46 46 | W 62 46 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 32 at Palermo on Clay.
Jasmine Paolini leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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