ATP Masters 1000 · Finals · ATP Masters 1000 Canada
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 107 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jannik Sinner plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | -0.88u |
Prior meetings and scores · 11 career meetings
11
Sinner
0
Minaur
Nov 15, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 25, 2025
Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 30, 2025
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 18, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 18, 2024
Rotterdam
H Hard · Finals
Aug 13, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Finals
May 4, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 16, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 12, 2020
Sofia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Minaur's 80%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 62 | W 64 61 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 64 60 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 67 61 64 | W 62 64 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 62 76 | W 76 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | L 60 26 26 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 63 76 | W 60 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | W 36 64 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 64 | W 76 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.6% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur face off in the Finals at ATP Masters 1000 Canada on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 11-0 over 11 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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