ITF M15 · Round of 32 · M15 Maanshan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
🛡️ The Spoiler
Ferguson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 2,034 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Chase Ferguson here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.65 | - |
| ROI % | +83.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +7.51u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Liu
1
Ferguson
Mar 23, 2026
M15 Maanshan
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 20, 2025
M25 Huzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Liu's 0%).
| Opponent | Liu | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Ye Cong Mo | L 16 16 | L 76 67 16 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 16 | W 61 60 |
| Yuta Kikuchi | L 46 36 | L 46 46 |
| Daisuke Sumizawa | L 36 61 26 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Liu | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 75.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.8% | 63.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.1% | 63.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.8% | 28.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57% | 52% |
| BP Converted % | 48.6% | 64.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 49 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 40.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 64% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hanyi Liu and Chase Ferguson face off in the Round of 32 at M15 Maanshan on Hard.
Hanyi Liu leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Hanyi Liu is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul (Jun 1).
Chase Ferguson is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taiyo Yamanaka (Jun 16).
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