ITF M · Futures 2026
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yamanaka
⚙️ Grinder
Ferguson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,768 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Chase Ferguson here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yamanaka | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | - |
| ROI % | +30.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | - |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Yamanaka
0
Ferguson
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Yamanaka's 29%).
| Opponent | Yamanaka | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Tomohiro Masabayashi | W 62 61 | W 62 61 |
| Moerani Bouzige | L 67 75 26 | L 46 64 36 |
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | L 36 00 | L 26 26 |
| Jamie Mackenzie | L 63 06 46 | L 36 46 |
| Maxim Shin | L 63 46 26 | W 61 64 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 36 57 | W 76 62 |
| Daisuke Sumizawa | W 63 60 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Yamanaka | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.8% | 75.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.7% | 63.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.5% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 0.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.7% | 63.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30% | 28.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 52% |
| BP Converted % | 46.2% | 64.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.5 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.2 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.7% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 40.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 54% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Taiyo Yamanaka and Chase Ferguson face off in the match at Futures 2026 on Hard.
Taiyo Yamanaka leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Taiyo Yamanaka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hoyoung Roh (Jun 18).
Chase Ferguson is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taiyo Yamanaka (Jun 16).
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