ITF M15 · Round of 16 · M15 Kashiwa
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Saitoh
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,450 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Chase Ferguson here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.82 |
| ROI % | - | +57.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Ferguson
0
Saitoh
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Saitoh's 25%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Moerani Bouzige | L 46 64 36 | L 67 46 |
| Enzo Aguiard | W 64 64 | L 36 16 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 46 | W 46 64 62 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 60 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 75.6% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.4% | 69.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 54.1% |
| Aces / Match | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.8% | 58.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 33.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52% | 58.2% |
| BP Converted % | 64.7% | 45.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 40.7% | 53.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 65% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Chase Ferguson and Keisuke Saitoh face off in the Round of 16 at M15 Kashiwa on Hard.
Chase Ferguson leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Chase Ferguson is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taiyo Yamanaka (Jun 16).
Keisuke Saitoh is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Kosuke Ogura (Jun 17).
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