ATP 250 · Semifinals · Bastad
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.14u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Cerundolo
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 60%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 62 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 67 64 | W 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 63 | L 36 61 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 16 76 | W 46 63 76 |
| Leandro Riedi | L 63 64 46 46 26 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cerundolo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.7% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.7% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.4% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.5 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.7 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.2% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.7% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at Bastad on Clay.
Francisco Cerundolo leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Francisco Cerundolo is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tommy Paul (Jun 20).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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