ATP 500 · Semifinals · Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,482 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | +6.17u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
7
Tiafoe
1
Nakashima
Feb 27, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 5, 2025
Houston
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 26, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 29, 2022
Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 15, 2021
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 6, 2020
Dallas
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 63 62 | W 62 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | W 63 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 36 63 76 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | W 75 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 75 67 75 | W 76 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 67 75 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | W 76 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 26 | L 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tiafoe | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.4% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 7.4 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.3% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.4% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.5% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 38.2% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 28 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.7 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.4% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Frances Tiafoe and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Semifinals at Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC on Hard.
Frances Tiafoe leads 7-1 over 8 previous meetings.
Frances Tiafoe is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Sho Shimabukuro (Jun 17).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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