WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🏹 Frontrunner
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Emma Navarro plays Aryna Sabalenka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +50.7% | -22.7% |
| Units P/L | +6.08u | -4.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Navarro
2
Sabalenka
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Semifinals
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Navarro's 30%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 76 26 16 | L |
| Caty Mcnally | L | W 64 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 64 | W |
| Iva Jovic | L | W 63 60 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 60 57 62 | W 76 64 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 76 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 64 46 46 | W 62 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 67 60 36 | L 62 26 67 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Navarro | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 54.8% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.9% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.1% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.6% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.6% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Emma Navarro and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Emma Navarro leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Emma Navarro is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Yuliia Starodubtseva (Jun 17).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
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