WTA 1000 · Final · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,186 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | -3.19u |
Prior meetings and scores · 17 career meetings
7
Rybakina
10
Sabalenka
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rybakina and Sabalenka posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | L |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 76 26 62 | L 62 26 67 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | W 63 76 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | W 63 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | W 64 26 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39.2% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.2% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.2% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Final at Indian Wells on Hard.
Elena Rybakina leads 7-10 over 17 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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