WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,590 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | +48.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | +0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 17 career meetings
10
Sabalenka
7
Rybakina
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rybakina's 80%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 62 46 46 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 76 26 62 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 64 63 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | W 46 64 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 67 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | W 75 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 76 | W 67 64 76 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | W 75 46 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 64 26 63 | W 26 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 6.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 36.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 54% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 82% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina face off in the Semifinals at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 10-7 over 17 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandra Eala (May 5).
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