Grand Slam · Final · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,590 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +48.0% | +109.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.96u | +2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 17 career meetings
7
Rybakina
10
Sabalenka
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rybakina's 80%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 76 26 62 | L 62 26 67 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | W 63 64 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | W 63 76 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | W 64 26 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 75 46 63 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 66.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 72.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 56% |
| Aces / Match | 6.1 | 5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.5% | 63% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.6% | 33.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 51.2% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54% | 54.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 80% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Final at Australian Open on Hard.
Elena Rybakina leads 7-10 over 17 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandra Eala (May 5).
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
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