ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Medvedev
0
Nakashima
Jan 11, 2026
Brisbane International presented by ANZ
H Hard · Final
Apr 29, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 10, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 20%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | L 76 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | W 75 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | L 46 06 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 36 61 | L 62 46 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | L 67 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 67 75 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Daniil Medvedev leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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