ATP 250 · Finals · Sydney
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 582 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | -0.88u |
Prior meetings and scores · 12 career meetings
8
Medvedev
4
Minaur
Oct 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 12, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 30, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 4, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 5, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 67 63 64 20 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 76 | L 57 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | L 36 62 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 36 57 76 60 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 62 46 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | W 36 64 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 57 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 61 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 76 26 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 57 26 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur face off in the Finals at Sydney on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 8-4 over 12 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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