ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Paris
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 582 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Daniil Medvedev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.36u |
Prior meetings and scores · 12 career meetings
4
Minaur
8
Medvedev
Oct 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 12, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 30, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 4, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 5, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 62 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | L 46 76 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 67 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 36 57 76 60 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 63 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 06 64 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 26 75 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 06 06 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | W 63 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 62.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 24.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 69% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Paris on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 4-8 over 12 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
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