ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Santiago
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -24.5% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.92u | -0.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Garin
3
Fokina
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 14, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2021
Antwerp
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 27, 2020
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Garin's 17%).
| Opponent | Garin | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 64 67 16 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 64 16 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 26 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 46 | W 61 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 63 36 67 64 36 | L 46 63 62 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Garin | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.5% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.3% | 66.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.8% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 49.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 34.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.6% | 48.9% |
| BP Converted % | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.7 | 20.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.9 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.3% | 72% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.9% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Cristian Garin and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina face off in the Round of 16 at Santiago on Clay.
Cristian Garin leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Cristian Garin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 26).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Jun 18).
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