ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 297 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Camilo Ugo Carabelli plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Carabelli
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 40%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 64 64 16 26 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 16 | W 46 63 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | W 57 75 75 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 36 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 16 26 | W 46 76 62 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 67 76 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 57 63 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.5% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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