ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Warsaw
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,086 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Nicolas Jarry here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.87 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -32.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Carabelli
3
Jarry
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Jarry posted a 29% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 67 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | W 62 62 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | W 57 64 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 57 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 46 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 65.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.8% | 75.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.9% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.1% | 61.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 26.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| BP Converted % | 35.8% | 50.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.1 | 21.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.7 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70% | 67.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 75% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 12
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Nicolas Jarry face off in the Quarterfinals at Warsaw on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
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