Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Roland Garros
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nava
💥 Big Hitter
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,285 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Emilio Nava here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nava | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–12 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.32 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | -6.3% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | -0.08u |
First career meeting
Nava and Carabelli have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Nava's 29%).
| Opponent | Nava | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 76 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 64 57 36 | L 67 26 |
| Mariano Navone | L 26 16 | W 62 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 46 | L 67 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 62 75 75 | W 76 57 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nava | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.9% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| Aces / Match | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.4% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30% | 31.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 51.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41.5% | 36.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.7 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31 | 26.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.2% | 70.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 57% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 12
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Match summary
Emilio Nava meets Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Round of 128 at Roland Garros on May 25, a clay court matchup between two unranked players separated by 29 spots. Nava, ranked 97th, has won four of his last five matches after a loss on tour. Carabelli sits at 68th and brings five matches in fourteen days into the opening round.
The two have never faced each other. Nava has won 12 of 22 clay matches (60%), while Carabelli holds a 11-9 record (55%) on the surface. Both players lost to Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez in recent weeks; Carabelli beat Karen Khachanov and Mariano Navone in that same span, opponents Nava fell to.
Nava relies on heavy groundstrokes and pace off both wings, attacking early in rallies to dictate from the baseline. Carabelli operates as a reactive player, waiting for openings to redirect pace and construct points through movement and angles. On clay, Nava's clay record sits at 60%; Carabelli at 55%. The matchup asks whether Nava can sustain aggression long enough to finish points, or whether Carabelli's defensive setup can neutralize that power and turn rallies into extended exchanges.
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