ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Agut
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Roberto Bautista Agut.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -43.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -5.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Nakashima
2
Agut
May 25, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 8, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Jun 21, 2023
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Agut's 11%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 63 | L 46 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | L 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | L 64 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | L 16 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 16 | W 64 67 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 63 | L 67 16 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 75 63 | L 46 76 46 06 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 26 67 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 67.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.6% | 71.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 55.6% |
| Aces / Match | 7 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.6% | 44.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 34.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.4% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 56.7% | 37.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.7 | 25.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 31% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Hynek Barton
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Brandon Nakashima
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Match summary
Brandon Nakashima faces Roberto Bautista Agut in the Round of 64 at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 8, a clay court event where both men carry identical recent records of 8-12 on the surface. Nakashima ranks 32 in the world; Bautista Agut sits at 98. The American arrives on a two-match losing streak but has won two of his last five, while the Spaniard won his most recent outing after playing three matches in the past two weeks.
Bautista Agut leads their head-to-head series 2-0 in two completed meetings. Both players have posted identical 40% win rates over their recent clay samples. Against common opponents, Nakashima has been the steadier performer, with five wins against Davidovich Fokina, Norrie, Marozsan, Mpetshi Perricard, and Fearnley compared to Bautista Agut's one victory over Marozsan.
Nakashima built his ranking on reliable serving and fast court performance; his clay results suggest the slower surface remains a challenge. Bautista Agut operates from the baseline with consistent groundstrokes and retrieval. The match asks whether Nakashima can maintain rhythm through his serve on clay or if Bautista Agut's baseline consistency will neutralize that weapon and extend rallies in his favor.
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