ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Surbiton
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Bellucci
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Mattia Bellucci.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | +0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Nakashima
0
Bellucci
Feb 9, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 5, 2024
Surbiton
G Grass · Round of 32
Feb 23, 2024
Pau
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bellucci's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 64 46 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 75 57 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | W 62 67 61 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 36 67 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | W 64 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 76 67 67 63 67 | W 64 16 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | L 46 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | L 67 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.6% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 54.6% |
| Aces / Match | 7 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.6% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 29.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.4% | 48% |
| BP Converted % | 56.7% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 21.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.7 | 28 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 76.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 50.6% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 100% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 18
Mikhail Kukushkin
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Taylor Fritz
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Yannick Hanfmann
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci face off in the Round of 32 at Surbiton on Grass.
Brandon Nakashima leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Mattia Bellucci is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Raphael Collignon (Jun 18).
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