ATP 250 · Finals · San Diego
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Giron
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Brandon Nakashima plays Marcos Giron.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -48.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -6.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Nakashima
1
Giron
Nov 5, 2025
Athens
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 21, 2025
Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 25, 2022
San Diego
H Hard · Finals
Mar 6, 2020
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Giron's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | L 63 57 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 26 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | W 76 75 |
| Marin Cilic | L 62 46 67 | L 57 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | L 36 62 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 64 | W 62 36 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 26 63 36 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 64 | L 67 64 57 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | W 76 76 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 46 75 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 61.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.6% | 71.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 55.9% |
| Aces / Match | 7 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.6% | 53.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 29% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.4% | 42.5% |
| BP Converted % | 56.7% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 28.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.7 | 37.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 67.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Daniel Evans
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Ben Shelton
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Roberto Bautista Agut
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Rinky Hijikata
HSBC Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron face off in the Finals at San Diego on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Marcos Giron is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Daniel Evans (Jun 13).
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