ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Tenerife 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 59% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 603 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 0–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -30.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | -8.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nakashima
0
Maestrelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maestrelli's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | L 36 67 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 67 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | L 36 26 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | L 16 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.5% | 63.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.2% | 46.6% |
| Aces / Match | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 34.5% | 64.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 57.1% |
| BP Converted % | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.6 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.1 | 28 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Arthur Gea
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Matchup overview
Brandon Nakashima and Francesco Maestrelli face off in the Quarterfinals at Tenerife 1 on Hard.
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
Francesco Maestrelli is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Gea (Jun 10).
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