Grand Slam · 1st Round Qualifying · Roland Garros
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Noguchi
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Francesco Maestrelli plays Rio Noguchi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +38.9% |
| Units P/L | -7.00u | +5.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Maestrelli
0
Noguchi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Noguchi's 50%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Harry Wendelken | W 67 64 62 | W 64 26 64 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | W 76 61 | W 64 63 |
| Maximus Jones | W 64 64 | L 64 16 26 |
| Yi Zhou | L 06 36 | L 57 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maestrelli | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.2% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 68.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 50.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.5% | 69.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.1% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.7% | 58.3% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 51.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.5 | 23.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.5 | 32.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 47.7% | 68.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.3% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Roberto Bautista Agut
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Miguel Damas
Danube Upper Austria Open powered by SKE · Round of 32
Apr 29
Match summary
Francesco Maestrelli and Rio Noguchi meet in the 1st Round Qualifying of Roland Garros on May 18 on clay. Maestrelli, ranked 128th, faces the 204th-ranked Noguchi in a matchup between two players struggling for consistency at the professional level.
The two have never played. Maestrelli has lost nine straight matches and owns a 40% win rate on clay over his recent sample. Noguchi has won three of his last five but sits at 25% over the same clay stretch. Both played their last match roughly two weeks before the qualifying draw.
Maestrelli performs best when building momentum within a match, though recent results suggest that rhythm has eluded him. Noguchi thrives as a disruptor, capable of unsettling opponents through defensive play and opportunistic breaks. On clay, Maestrelli's serve and court positioning become more critical; Noguchi will need his defensive tools and patience to stay competitive.
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