Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 64% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,671 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 3.74 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -68.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -3.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
5
Sabalenka
0
Stephens
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 10, 2022
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 9, 2021
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 11, 2017
Fed Cup WG F: USA vs BLR
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stephens's 0%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 48.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 56.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 25.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 39.4% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 49.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 40.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Sloane Stephens face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 5-0 over 5 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Sloane Stephens is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sara Bejlek (May 25).
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