WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Bronzetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 3.36 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | +130.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +16.99u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Bronzetti
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bronzetti's 25%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Kasatkina | W | W 63 16 64 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 64 | L 36 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 26 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 75 46 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 58.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 42.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 58.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 39.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 61.8% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 42.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti face off in the Round of 32 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Lucia Bronzetti is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Katarzyna Kawa (Jun 14).
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