WTA 500 · Semifinals · Brisbane
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Karolina Muchova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | +90.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | +13.56u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Sabalenka
3
Muchova
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 25, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 22, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 62 16 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 46 67 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 57 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 63 57 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W 64 26 64 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | W 16 63 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 63.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 46.1% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 56.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 57.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 49% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova face off in the Semifinals at Brisbane on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Madison Keys (Jun 18).
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