WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Washington
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Rakhimova
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 64% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,671 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 3.22 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | +47.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +6.61u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Rakhimova
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Jul 29, 2024
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rakhimova's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Raducanu | W 76 46 76 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 67 16 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | L 26 64 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W | W 64 75 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 63 46 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 46 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 63 64 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 64 26 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 58.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 62.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 38.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 51.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 37.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 60.2% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 54.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova face off in the Round of 16 at Washington on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Kamilla Rakhimova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Oksana Selekhmeteva (Jun 20).
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