WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elina Svitolina here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 19–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | +32.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +7.05u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
6
Sabalenka
1
Svitolina
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
May 6, 2024
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 21, 2020
Strasbourg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 24, 2018
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Svitolina's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 26 46 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W | W 62 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 76 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 26 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | W |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 62 46 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 61 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 47% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 71.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 39.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 84% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina face off in the Semifinals at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 6-1 over 7 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Elina Svitolina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 19).
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