Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Cristina Bucsa.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Sabalenka
0
Bucsa
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bucsa's 17%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | L 67 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 57 76 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | L 26 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | W 75 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 46 16 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 76 46 76 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 64.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 59.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 42.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 37.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 33.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 54.1% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 30.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Cristina Bucsa face off in the Round of 16 at Us Open on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Cristina Bucsa is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Susan Bandecchi (May 25).
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