WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Miami
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
👑 The Complete Package
Mcnally
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 75% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 593 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aryna Sabalenka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +109.5% | +14.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | +0.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Sabalenka
0
Mcnally
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mcnally's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 46 60 | L 16 76 36 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | W 64 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 26 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 57 64 36 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 75 61 | W 62 75 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 64 62 | W 63 61 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 46 63 61 | W 62 62 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jil Teichmann | W 63 61 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 71.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 61% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 45.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 0.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.9% | 40.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 56.7% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 49.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.9% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Caty Mcnally face off in the Round of 32 at Miami on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 5).
Caty Mcnally is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Iga Swiatek (May 5).
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