WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mcnally
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 666 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marta Kostyuk here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +54.5% | +14.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | +0.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kostyuk
0
Mcnally
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Mcnally's 20%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Kasatkina | W 36 63 76 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 57 64 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 46 26 |
| Emma Navarro | L 26 57 | L 26 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 57 63 63 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kostyuk | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58% | 71.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 61% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.9% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.3% | 40.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 64.1% | 56.7% |
| BP Converted % | 53.6% | 49.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.1% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marta Kostyuk and Caty Mcnally face off in the Round of 16 at Madrid on Clay.
Marta Kostyuk leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Marta Kostyuk is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mirra Andreeva (Apr 21).
Caty Mcnally is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Iga Swiatek (May 5).
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