WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potapova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,190 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +54.5% | +64.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | +1.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Kostyuk
2
Potapova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Potapova's 50%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 61 64 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 62 26 46 | W 63 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 60 | L 26 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 75 | L 61 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
| Ann Li | W 60 67 63 | L 57 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 67 67 |
| Emma Raducanu | L 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 36 63 76 | W 75 46 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 75 67 63 | W 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 45.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.9% | 57.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 64.1% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 53.6% | 54.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.1% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 79% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova face off in the Semifinals at Madrid on Clay.
Marta Kostyuk leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Marta Kostyuk is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mirra Andreeva (Apr 21).
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dalma Galfi (May 5).
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