Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Potapova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.67 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | +109.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +26.16u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Potapova
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 17, 2023
Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Potapova's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 67 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 16 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | W 75 46 64 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 57 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | W 76 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 26 61 16 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | W 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 60.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 69.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 45.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 43.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 59.9% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 56.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 54.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova face off in the Round of 32 at Australian Open on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Suzan Lamens (Jun 10).
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