WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Moscow
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Ajla Tomljanovic are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -22.7% | -44.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | -4.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Sabalenka
1
Tomljanovic
Oct 18, 2021
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 18, 2019
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 4, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 11, 2018
s-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tomljanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 06 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | W |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W | W |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W | W 61 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 64 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 26 06 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 46 76 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 75 46 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 57 75 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 66.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 57.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 36.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 8.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 54.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 33.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.8% | 62.5% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 49.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 46.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Ajla Tomljanovic face off in the Round of 16 at Moscow on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 20).
Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Veronika Erjavec (Jun 21).
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