ATP 250 · Round of 16 · San Diego
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Rublev
1
Nakashima
Aug 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 10, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 16, 2024
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 29, 2021
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Nakashima's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | L 76 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | W 62 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 76 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 26 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 76 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | L 76 67 67 63 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 76 26 46 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 49.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 38.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 56.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 22.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 72.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 16 at San Diego on Hard.
Andrey Rublev leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 18).
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