ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Shenzhen
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Minaur
0
McDonald
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Feb 9, 2022
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 17, 2018
Shenzhen
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 10, 2017
Drummondville
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs McDonald's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 62 64 62 | L 67 57 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 67 76 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 60 61 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | L 46 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 64 36 63 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 62 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | L 57 46 46 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 46 62 64 60 | L 36 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 16 at Shenzhen on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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