ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Minaur
0
Carabelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | W 16 62 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 76 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 16 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | W 76 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | W 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | L 06 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 51.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 64% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 54.2% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 37.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 28.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 72.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
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