Alex de Minaur and Camilo Ugo Carabelli have met 1 time since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Alex de Minaur.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.20u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | W 16 62 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 76 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 16 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | W 76 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | W 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | L 06 36 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 49% |
| Sets won | 65% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
