Toby Samuel vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Toby Samuel and Tomas Machac have met 1 time since 2026; Toby Samuel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Samuel has taken 3 sets to Machac's 0. Their most recent meeting: Toby Samuel won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samuel | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Toby Samuel | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 52/63 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 19/80 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 42/63 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 15/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 55/60 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 52/60 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samuel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samuel | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Toby Samuel | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.75u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Samuel's 33%).
| Opponent | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 64 67 26 | W 64 64 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hynek Barton
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jerome Kym
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Mackenzie McDonald
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Andy Andrade
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tomas Machac
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Cristian Garin
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Billy Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–84 matches
| Metric | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 48% |
| Sets won | 72% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samuel | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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