Rio Noguchi vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rio Noguchi and Yosuke Watanuki have met 1 time since 2025; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Shanghai Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 3, 2025
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noguchi | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rio Noguchi | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -6.1% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Noguchi's 0%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | L 57 63 36 | W 76 75 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 26 | W 63 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–60 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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