Rio Noguchi vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rio Noguchi and Yosuke Watanuki have met 1 time since 2025; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Shanghai Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 25/67 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 3, 2025
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noguchi | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rio Noguchi | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -25.9% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.14u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 754 mi · 1,213 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watanuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Noguchi's 25%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | L 26 57 | L 62 36 57 |
| Marat Sharipov | W 64 64 | L 76 57 26 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 57 63 36 | W 76 75 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 26 | W 63 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–67 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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