Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka UchiyamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตRio Noguchi
#221 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ3

๐ฏ๐ตYasutaka Uchiyama
#532 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
20wRio Noguchi and Yasutaka Uchiyama have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Noguchi leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 3 sets to Uchiyama's 3. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Yokkaichi Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Uchiyama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Yasutaka Uchiyama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 25/67 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 47% | 9/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 0, Uchiyama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
๐ช Counterpuncher
Uchiyama
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yasutaka Uchiyama.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 29, 2026
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard ยท Final
Sep 5, 2025
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | - |
| ROI % | -35.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.26u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 754 mi ยท 1,213 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Uchiyama has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Noguchi's 50%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | L 57 63 36 | L 76 46 57 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 46 76 | W 61 62 |
| Alex Bolt | L 67 67 | W 62 67 62 |
| Marat Sharipov | W 64 64 | L 36 75 67 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 26 | W 63 57 63 |
| Maximus Jones | L 64 16 26 | W 64 46 64 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 64 64 | W 62 61 |
| Marek Gengel | W 46 76 75 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 7
Andre Ilagan
Little Rock Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 25
Alastair Gray
Wuxi Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 4
Yuta Shimizu
Gwangju Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 21
Marat Sharipov
Busan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Alastair Gray
Wuning 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 7
Rio Noguchi
Yokkaichi Challenger ยท Final
Mar 29
Hayato Matsuoka
Yokkaichi Challenger ยท Semifinals
Mar 28
Fajing Sun
Yokkaichi Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 26โ67 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 54% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Uchiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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