Paula Badosa vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Paula Badosa and Peyton Stearns have met 2 times since 2024; Paula Badosa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–0. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 4 sets to Stearns's 1. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 14, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Badosa | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Paula Badosa | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +18.2% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | -3.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km |
| Route | — | ECU → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stearns has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 75 | L 06 57 |
| Daria Snigur | L 16 67 | W 64 60 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | L 46 46 | W 61 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 51% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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