Paula Badosa vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#37 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Paula Badosa and Peyton Stearns have met 2 times since 2024; Paula Badosa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–0. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 4 sets to Stearns's 1. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 14/45 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 19/37 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Paula Badosa and Peyton Stearns are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 14, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Badosa | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Paula Badosa | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -4.9% | -15.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.64u | -2.22u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | BRA → ROU | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Badosa and Stearns posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Kasatkina | W 46 76 64 | L 16 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 16 | L 46 26 |
| Mary Stoiana | W 64 62 | W 67 60 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 75 | L 06 57 |
| Daria Snigur | L 16 67 | W 64 60 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | L 46 46 | W 61 57 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–48 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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