Novak Djokovic vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#8 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
Title14 meetings ยท sets 25โ15
๐จ๐ญRoger Federer
Unranked
274wNovak Djokovic and Roger Federer have met 14 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 10โ4. Their first meeting came at Dubai in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 7โ4. On grass courts Djokovic leads 2โ0. 9 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 7โ2. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 25 sets to Federer's 15. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 4/9 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 62% | 8/13 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 4/8 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 3, Federer 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
๐ค Servebot
Federer
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
14 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Nov 14, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Jul 14, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Final
Nov 3, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 19, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Final
Jan 26, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Nov 22, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard ยท Final
Nov 7, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 13, 2015
US Open
H Hard ยท Final
Aug 23, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Final
Jul 12, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Final
May 17, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay ยท Final
Mar 22, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Final
Feb 28, 2015
Dubai
H Hard ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | - |
| ROI % | +17.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.42u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon ยท Round of 32
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon ยท Round of 16
Jul 11
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon ยท Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ28 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | - |
| Sets won | 63% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 7 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 5 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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