Novak Djokovic vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer have met 14 times since 2015; Novak Djokovic leads 10–4. Their first meeting came at Dubai in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 7–4. On grass courts Djokovic leads 2–0. 9 of their meetings have been finals, with Djokovic leading those 7–2. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 25 sets to Federer's 15. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 5/10 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 3, Federer 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
14 career meetings, newest first
Jan 31, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 14, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 14, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Final
Nov 3, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 19, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Jan 26, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 22, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Final
Nov 7, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 13, 2015
US Open
H Hard · Final
Aug 23, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Jul 12, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass · Final
May 17, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Final
Mar 22, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Feb 28, 2015
Dubai
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | - |
| ROI % | -12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–31 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 7 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 5 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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