Murphy Cassone vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMurphy Cassone
#304 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
6w1 meeting Β· sets 1β2

π―π΅Yuta Shimizu
#388 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
3Murphy Cassone and Yuta Shimizu have met 1 time since 2026; Yuta Shimizu leads 1β0. Across all meetings Cassone has taken 1 sets to Shimizu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Shimizu won at Tyler Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cassone | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Murphy Cassone | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 39% | 19/49 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cassone 0, Shimizu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cassone
π€ Servebot
Shimizu
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Murphy Cassone.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Tyler Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cassone | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Murphy Cassone | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β4 | 6β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +8.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.22u | +0.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 1 |
| Matches | β | 1 |
| Distance | β | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | β | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Shimizu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cassone's 0%).
| Opponent | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Broady | L 06 16 | W 62 75 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 67 26 | W 64 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 76 36 | L 67 46 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 61 26 36 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Blaise Bicknell
Granby Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tristan Schoolkate
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 9
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Yuta Shimizu
Tyler Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Tyler Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 3
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Liam Broady
Winnipeg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jay Friend
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 13
Ryan Colby
M25 Laval Β· 1st Round
Jul 7
Michael Mmoh
Cary Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 48β49 matches
| Metric | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cassone | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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