Mattia Bellucci vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นMattia Bellucci
#86 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฆ๐บRinky Hijikata
#85 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Mattia Bellucci and Rinky Hijikata have met 2 times since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bellucci leads 2โ0. Bellucci has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bellucci has taken 4 sets to Hijikata's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bellucci | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mattia Bellucci | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 25/35 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 19/62 | 36% | 27/75 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 19/31 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 25/35 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bellucci 2, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bellucci
๐ค Servebot
Hijikata
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 24, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bellucci | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mattia Bellucci | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ7 | 6โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | -10.8% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.84u | -2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 5 |
| Distance | 927 mi ยท 1,492 km | 2,283 mi ยท 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hijikata has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bellucci's 40%).
| Opponent | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 75 62 | L 36 76 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 62 46 26 | W 64 62 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 64 46 36 | W 36 76 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 62 67 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 76 46 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 76 61 | W 67 76 63 |
| Alex Bolt | W 67 75 63 | W 63 63 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 67 46 | W 46 64 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 67 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger ยท Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 66โ80 matches
| Metric | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bellucci | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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