Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Orlando LuzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
43 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇷Orlando Luz
#873 · 28 yrs · R
6wMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Orlando Luz have met 3 times since 2020; Orlando Luz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sao Paulo Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Luz leads 2–1. Luz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 2 sets to Luz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Orlando Luz won at Asuncion Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Luz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Orlando Luz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 31/43 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 18/40 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 100% | 3/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 0, Luz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Luz
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2024
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 30, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 26, 2020
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–6 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 9.06 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.45u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 684 mi · 1,101 km | — |
| Route | GER → GBR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 6
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 5
Gauthier Onclin
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henrique Rocha
BCI Seguros Chile Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Pedro Sakamoto
Florianopolis Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 20
Carlos Maria Zarate
Florianopolis Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 19
Natan Rodrigues
Florianopolis · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–68 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 36% |
| Sets won | 61% | 40% |
| Games won | 56% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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