Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Orlando LuzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇷Orlando Luz
#903 · 28 yrs · R
12wMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Orlando Luz have met 3 times since 2020; Orlando Luz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sao Paulo Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Luz leads 2–1. Luz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 2 sets to Luz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Orlando Luz won at Asuncion Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Luz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Orlando Luz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 33/46 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 26/72 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 22/45 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 6/20 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 33/47 | 100% | 4/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 0, Luz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Luz
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 354 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Orlando Luz.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2024
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 30, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 26, 2020
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–8 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +240.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.05u | +7.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | — |
| Route | ARG → BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Clement Tabur
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Gauthier Onclin
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Henrique Rocha
BCI Seguros Chile Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Pedro Sakamoto
Florianopolis Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–72 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 45% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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