Mateus Alves vs Victor BragaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mateus Alves and Victor Braga have met 1 time since 2026; Mateus Alves leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to Braga's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mateus Alves won at M15 Leme (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Braga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Victor Braga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 35/40 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 16% | 4/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/61 | 32% | 11/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 36/40 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 40% | 2/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 1, Braga 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
👑 The Complete Package
Braga
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mateus Alves.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 10, 2026
M15 Leme
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Braga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Victor Braga | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 22/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 17/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–4 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.18 | 6.77 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alves has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Braga's 0%).
| Opponent | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | W 64 60 | L 36 64 46 |
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | W 76 64 | L 26 16 |
| Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior | L 64 62 | L 26 46 |
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | L 75 63 | L 36 67 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 63 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jose Pereira
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Bautista De La Pena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Wilson Leite
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Gabriel Schenekenberg
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 22
Victor Carvalho Melo
M15 Belem · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mateus Alves
M15 Leme · 1st Round
Sep 10
Enzo Camargo Lima
M15 Porto Velho · 1st Round
Sep 1
thomas Menzel
M25 Londrina · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–61 matches
| Metric | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 26% |
| Sets won | 66% | 28% |
| Games won | 56% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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