Mateus Alves vs Pedro SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mateus Alves and Pedro Sakamoto have met 3 times since 2023; Mateus Alves leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Antofagasta in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Alves leads 2–1. Alves has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Alves leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Alves has taken 4 sets to Sakamoto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mateus Alves won at M15 Curitiba (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 35/40 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/62 | 32% | 19/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 36/41 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 35/41 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 2, Sakamoto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
👑 The Complete Package
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mateus Alves.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
M15 Curitiba
C Clay · Final
Sep 13, 2026
M15 Leme
C Clay · Final
Sep 17, 2023
Antofagasta
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 22/24 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 17/24 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.18 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -0.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakamoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Alves's 25%).
| Opponent | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | W 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | L 67 57 | W 64 67 64 |
| Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | L 63 75 | L |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 67 61 76 | W 64 62 |
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | L 75 63 | L 64 46 16 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | W 63 63 | W 76 63 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 57 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jose Pereira
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Bautista De La Pena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Wilson Leite
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eduardo Ribeiro
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Santiago De La Fuente
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–62 matches
| Metric | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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