Marta Kostyuk vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wMarta Kostyuk and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2021; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kostyuk leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 5 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at ATX Open - Austin (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 5, 2023
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · Final
Aug 27, 2021
WTA Chicago Women's Open - Chicago
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | - |
| ROI % | -11.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | UKR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Gracheva's 29%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 57 75 46 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 62 | L 36 16 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 64 63 | W 61 26 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 61 64 | L 46 06 |
| Ann Li | W 60 67 63 | L 46 06 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 60 | L 62 26 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 53% |
| Sets won | 72% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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